Recent Research

LMCI suggest the level of activity increased modestly and momentum was little changed in September

October 10, 2019 | Labor Market Conditions Indicators
LMCI suggest the level of activity increased modestly and momentum was little changed in September.

Disappearing Routine Occupations and Declining Prime-Age Labor Force Participation

By Didem Tuzemen
October 04, 2019 | Research Working Paper
The disappearance of routine jobs has been a substantial contributor to the decline in labor force participation among prime-age individuals, especially those with lower educational attainment.

New and Existing Small Business Commercial and Industrial Loan Balances Decline Year-Over-Year

By Christi May-Oder, Assistant Vice President and Allison Jakubek, Supervisory Analyst
September 23, 2019 | Small Business Lending Survey
The dollar volume of new small business commercial and industrial (C&I) loan balances declined 10.5 percent in the second quarter of 2019 compared with the second quarter of 2018, with outstanding small business C&I balances declining 0.8 percent for the same period. The decline in new small business C&I loans was driven by decreases in term loans and credit lines of 8.6 percent and 13.3 percent, respectively.

Privacy Regulation and Quality Investment

By Yassine Lefouili and Ying Lei Toh
September 20, 2019 | Research Working Paper
Stricter privacy regulations do not always come at the expense of innovation and service quality.

LMCI suggest the level of activity declined and momentum decelerated in August

September 11, 2019 | Labor Market Conditions Indicators
LMCI suggest the level of activity declined and momentum decelerated in August.

Economic Review

The Uneven Recovery in Prime-Age Labor Force Participation

By Didem Tuzemen and Thao Tran
October 08, 2019 | Economic Review
Prime-age individuals without a college degree had larger declines in their labor force participation during and after the recession, due in part to the disappearance of routine jobs.

Tracking U.S. GDP in Real Time

By Taeyoung Doh and Jaeheung Bae
August 14, 2019 | Economic Review
A new model for tracking GDP in real time allows policymakers to assess the current state of the economy.

Did Local Factors Contribute to the Decline in Bank Branches?

By Rajdeep Sengupta and Jacob Dice
July 18, 2019 | Economic Review
The number of bank branches has declined since the financial crisis, driven partly by changes in local market and competitive factors.

Implementation Delays in Pension Retrenchment Reforms

By Huixin Bi, Kevin Hunt and Susan Zubairy
July 02, 2019 | Economic Review
On average, pension retrenchment reforms are phased in over a decade, but age-related forms can take much longer to implement.

Capital Reallocation and Capital Investment

By David Rodziewicz and Nicholas Sly
May 29, 2019 | Economic Review
Rising merger and acquisition activity complements investment growth by allowing firms to build their productive capacity.
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