Center for Agriculture and the Economy

Leveraging expertise from the Kansas City Fed, the Center provides timely analysis of industry developments and conducts ongoing research on the agricultural economy.

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Input Prices in Food and Energy Sectors Rose Sharply in April

May 8, 2026
By Cortney Cowley and Chase Farha

Although prices for inputs rose at most manufacturing and services firms in April, the pace of increase in prices was faster for firms in the food supply chain. Input prices in energy and chemical sectors, which produce and distribute products for agriculture and other industries, also rose at a rapid pace. The index for the price of raw materials among food, energy, and chemical manufacturers rose from 29 in March to 74 in April, which was the fastest rate of increase since February 2022 (blue line in the left panel). In the services sector, the index for input prices at grocery stores, restaurants, and gas stations (blue line in the right panel) has remained comparably higher than other establishments in recent years and increased sharply in April even as the index was relatively steady at other firms. Contacts reported that recent cost pressures were primarily due to increases in transportation expenses related to a spike in freight and fuel prices and many also mentioned it was getting increasingly difficult to pass cost increases on to customers.

The image contains two charts in side-by-side panels. The panel on the left shows manufacturing prices of raw materials. It is a line chart showing the diffusion index (measured in month-over-month changes) from January 2018 to January 2026. Two lines are displayed. The blue line for "Food, energy, and chemicals" shows high volatility, starting around 30, dropping to -20 in late 2019, rising sharply to peak near 90 in 2021-2022, declining to -20 in 2024, then rising to approximately 75 by 2026. The purple line for "All other" exhibits similar but slightly less extreme patterns, starting around 50, dropping to near 0 in 2019-2020, peaking around 85 in 2021-2022, declining to around 10 in 2024, then rising to approximately 40 by 2026.
The right panel shows services input prices as a line chart showing the diffusion index (measured in month-over-month changes) from January 2018 to January 2026. Two lines are displayed. The blue line for "Food and gas" demonstrates extreme volatility, starting around 20, dropping sharply to -20 in 2020, surging to peak near 100 in 2021-2022, then declining and fluctuating between 20-60 through 2026. The purple line for "All other" shows more moderate fluctuations, ranging mostly between 20-60 throughout the period, with a notable peak around 70 in 2022, and ending near 40 in 2026. Both charts use a scale from -40 to 120 on the y-axis.

Note: The diffusion index is calculated as the percentage of total respondents reporting increases minus the percentage reporting declines. The data shown are seasonally adjusted.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Business Surveys

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