Center for Agriculture and the Economy

Leveraging expertise from the Kansas City Fed, the Center provides timely analysis of industry developments and conducts ongoing research on the agricultural economy.

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Farmland values in the Midwest and Plains states remained firm in 2025 despite steady deterioration in farm financial conditions.

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The recent closure of a meatpacking plant in Lexington, Nebraska, raises questions about how mass layoffs affect nearby...

Rural | Economic Bulletin | Labor and Demographics

The Number of Cattle Processed into Beef Has Declined Alongside Low Inventories and Reduced Slaughter Capacity

March 5, 2026
By Cortney Cowley

U.S. beef cattle slaughter has continued to deviate from the pre-pandemic baseline in early 2026. During 2020 and 2021, shocks associated with COVID-19, severe weather, and a cyberattack at JBS contributed to substantial disruptions in the beef supply chain. Similarly, in November 2025, the total number of cattle slaughtered in the U.S. was 22% lower than in January 2020. However, more recent deviations in cattle slaughter have not resulted from shocks in the supply chain but from historically low cattle inventories. As cattle inventories have declined, higher procurement costs and lower capacity utilization have created challenges in the beef packing industry and contributed to reduced hours for workers and closures at three beef packing plants in early 2026. Moving forward, reduced slaughter capacity will likely boost efficiency in the supply chain but keep beef production at lower levels.

A line graph showing the percent change in the number of cattle slaughtered in the United States from January 2020 through early 2026. The y-axis ranges from -25% to +10%, with the baseline at 0%. The x-axis shows time progression from January 2020 to January 2026. After mid-2022, the data shows a persistent negative trend, with cattle slaughter numbers remaining consistently 5-20% below the January 2020 baseline through January 2026.

Note: Calculations based on the total number of cattle, greater than or equal to 500 pounds, that are slaughtered in commercial meat packing facilities in the United States.
Sources: U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City staff calculations

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