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Economic Review

A quarterly research publication with articles on macroeconomics and monetary policy, regional and international economics, and banking and financial markets.

Recent Articles

Economic Review

Testing Hybrid Forecasts for Imports and Exports

During times of stress, hybrid forecasts outperform pure model-based forecasts over short horizons.

Economic Review

A Method for Estimating the Price of Stablecoin Insurance

The price of insuring stablecoins can be estimated using standard option pricing methods as applied to bank deposit insurance.

Economic Review

Why Do Net Interest Margins Behave Differently across Banks as Interest Rates Rise?

Banks with declining net interest margins during the 2022–23 tightening cycle were more reliant on capital market funding.

Economic Review

A Regional Indicator of Commercial Real Estate Activity: The KC Fed CRE Index

The KC Fed CRE Index summarizes a variety of changes in regional CRE conditions with minimal lags.

Economic Review

A Strong Labor Market Has Narrowed Gaps between Black and White Non-College Men

Black men without a college degree have seen especially strong gains in employment and wages during the pandemic recovery.

Economic Review

Do the Effects of Interest Rate Changes Depend on Inflation?

When inflation is persistently high, the economy reacts to monetary policy more slowly and with more volatility.