Research Working Paper Archive

Research staff produce Research Working Papers on a wide range of economic topics.

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464 result(s) found
Article Title Author(s) Date Type

Maintaining the Anchor: An Evaluation of Inflation Targeting in the Face of COVID-19

Globally, central banks prevented high inflation post-pandemic from becoming embedded in inflation expectations.

Covid-19 Research Research Working Paper Monetary Policy Macroeconomics Inflation
Brent Bundick
A. Lee Smith
Luca Van der Meer Expandable Row
December 20, 2024
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The Passthrough of Agricultural Commodity Prices to Food Prices

Agricultural commodities prices have had a small and uncertain effect on changes in food prices at least since 2008.

Research Working Paper Agriculture Inflation
Francisco Scott
Amaze Lusompa
David Rodziewicz
Cortney Cowley
Jacob Dice Expandable Row
December 20, 2024
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Replication files for "How Optimal Was U.S. Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound"

Replication files for "How Optimal Was U.S. Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound" by Brent Bundick, Logan Hotz and A. Lee Smith, Research Working Paper, December 01, 2023.

Inflation Macroeconomics Monetary Policy Research Working Paper
A. Lee Smith
Brent Bundick
Logan Hotz Expandable Row
December 19, 2024
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Examining the Financial Accelerator: Bank Responses to the 2014 Oil Price Shock

By restricting lending, banks may amplify economic downturns for vulnerable firms.

Research Working Paper Banking and Finance
W. Blake Marsh
Rajdeep Sengupta
David Rodziewicz Expandable Row
December 9, 2024
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Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks

Central bank asset purchases can effectively stabilize economic conditions, especially in scenarios of elevated financial stress.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper Monetary Policy Macroeconomics Banking and Finance
Huixin Bi
Andrew Foerster
Nora Traum Expandable Row
December 3, 2024
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Explaining Machine Learning by Bootstrapping Partial Dependence Functions and Shapley Values

We examine two techniques for interpreting machine learning models and explain how they fit within the framework of economic analysis.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper
Zach Modig
Andrew Palmer
Greg Gupton
Thomas R. Cook Expandable Row
December 2, 2024
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Risk-on/Risk-off: Measuring Shifts in Investor Sentiment

A new, high frequency measure of investor sentiment outperforms similar measures in forecasting investment activity in emerging markets.

Research Working Paper International Banking and Finance Data and Trends
Anusha Chari
Karlye Dilts Stedman
Christian Lundblad Expandable Row
November 26, 2024
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Creative Destruction and the Reallocation of Capital in Rural and Urban Areas

The higher rate of entries and exits among food manufacturing firms in urban versus rural areas has increased over time.

Economic Geography Research Working Paper Regional
Jason P. Brown
Dayton M. Lambert Expandable Row
October 22, 2024
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Mismatch Unemployment During COVID-19 and the Post-Pandemic Labor Shortages

During the post-pandemic recovery, sectors with larger mismatch unemployment saw higher growth in labor costs.

Labor and Demographics Economic Geography Covid-19 Research Research Working Paper Macroeconomics
Serdar Birinci
Yusuf Mercan
Kurt See Expandable Row
October 9, 2024
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Defining Households That Are Underserved in Digital Payment Services

We consider four elements—access, use, safety, and affordability—in our definition of households underserved in digital payments.

Law and Economics Payments Research Working Paper Banking and Finance
Claire Greene
Fumiko Hayashi
Alicia Lloro
Oz Shy
Joanna Stavins
Ying Lei Toh Expandable Row
September 20, 2024
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