February 13, 2019 | Labor Market Conditions IndicatorsActivity declined modestly and momentum remained high in January.
January 09, 2019 | Labor Market Conditions IndicatorsActivity increased and momentum remained high in December.
Willem Van Zandweghe
January 09, 2019 | The Macro BulletinStock market surprises influence consumer and business confidence, with potential effects on real spending.
Craig S. Hakkio and Jun Nie
December 26, 2018 | Research Working PaperForecasting foreign GDP growth using cross-country monthly data provides a timely measure of foreign demand.
December 21, 2018 | Small Business Lending SurveyU. S. small business commercial and industrial (C&I) lending increased in the third quarter of 2018 with growth driven by large institutions. Most of the 122 respondents to the Federal Reserve’s Small Business Lending Survey (FR 2028D) indicated conditions for small business lending remained stable in the third quarter. Credit standards remained relatively unchanged with respondents indicating a tightening of lending terms. Interest rates on new small business C&I term loans and lines of credit continued to rise.
A. Lee Smith
February 06, 2019 | Economic ReviewDeclining reserves have placed upward pressure on the federal funds rate in recent years despite the payment of interest on reserve balances.
December 04, 2018 | Economic ReviewJobs and residents have increasingly migrated to larger, less crowded metros, where business productivity and urban amenities have increased.
Nida Cakir Melek
November 20, 2018 | Economic ReviewThe shale boom led to greater spillovers from oil investment to aggregate investment.
November 13, 2018 | Economic ReviewA machine learning model can incorporate large amounts of data to forecast the unemployment rate.