Recent Research
LMCI suggest the level of activity declined modestly and momentum remained high in November
December 11, 2018 | Labor Market Conditions Indicators
Activity declined modestly and momentum remained high in November.
The Initial Effects of EMV Migration on Chargebacks in the United States
By Fumiko Hayashi, Zach Markiewicz and Sabrina MinhasDecember 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
Since the EMV liability shift in October 2015, both chargebacks and fraud loss rates have increased for merchants, particularly from signature-based, card-present transactions
The Optimal Monetary Instrument and the (Mis)Use of Causality Tests
By A. Lee Smith and John W. KeatingDecember 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
Since the EMV liability shift in October 2015, both chargebacks and fraud loss rates have increased for merchants, particularly from signature-based, card-present transactions
Trends in the Labor Share Post-2000
By Didem Tuzemen, W. Blake Marsh and Thao TranDecember 07, 2018 | The Macro Bulletin
After declining for a decade, the labor share of income seems to have stabilized recently, reflecting an increased share of services industries income paid to workers.
The U.S. Syndicated Loan Market: Matching Data
By Gregory J. Cohen, Melanie Friedrichs, Kamran Gupta, William Hayes, Seung Jung Lee, Nathan Mislang, Maya Shaton, Martin Sicilian and W. Blake MarshDecember 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
A simple, replicable methodology can help researchers link corporate loan datasets.
Economic Review
The Faster Growth of Larger, Less Crowded Locations
By Jordan RappaportDecember 04, 2018 | Economic Review
Jobs and residents have increasingly migrated to larger, less crowded metros, where business productivity and urban amenities have increased.
The Response of U.S. Investment to Oil Price Shocks: Does the Shale Boom Matter?
By Nida Cakir MelekNovember 20, 2018 | Economic Review
The shale boom led to greater spillovers from oil investment to aggregate investment.
Machine Learning Approaches to Macroeconomic Forecasting
By Aaron Smalter HallNovember 13, 2018 | Economic Review
A machine learning model can incorporate large amounts of data to forecast the unemployment rate.
Mapping Stress in Agricultural Lending
By Cortney CowleySeptember 05, 2018 | Economic Review
Stress in agricultural lending, measured by repayment rates for farm loans, spiked across the Tenth District in 2016.
Energy investment variability within the macroeconomy
By David RodziewiczAugust 22, 2018 | Economic Review
U.S. investment has become more variable due to both increased energy investment and an increased concentration of investment in more volatile segments of the energy sector.
Main Street Views
View all of our research on macroeconomics, monetary policy, payments, banking, regional and community issues in one location.
Agriculture & Rural Economies
Insights on agricultural and rural economies regionally and nationally.
Banking, Payments & Financial Markets
Issues affecting the banking and payments industries.
The Center for the Advancement of Data and Research in Economics
CADRE provides high performance computing capabilities and research data management and curation services to the research community.
Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
Our annual symposium draws central bankers, policymakers, academics and economists from around the world. The proceedings include papers, commentaries and discussions.
About the Symposium | Archive
