Recent Research

LMCI suggest the level of activity declined modestly and momentum remained high in November

December 11, 2018 | Labor Market Conditions Indicators
Activity declined modestly and momentum remained high in November.

The Initial Effects of EMV Migration on Chargebacks in the United States

By Fumiko Hayashi, Zach Markiewicz and Sabrina Minhas
December 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
Since the EMV liability shift in October 2015, both chargebacks and fraud loss rates have increased for merchants, particularly from signature-based, card-present transactions

The Optimal Monetary Instrument and the (Mis)Use of Causality Tests

By A. Lee Smith and John W. Keating
December 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
Since the EMV liability shift in October 2015, both chargebacks and fraud loss rates have increased for merchants, particularly from signature-based, card-present transactions

Trends in the Labor Share Post-2000

By Didem Tuzemen, W. Blake Marsh and Thao Tran
December 07, 2018 | The Macro Bulletin
After declining for a decade, the labor share of income seems to have stabilized recently, reflecting an increased share of services industries income paid to workers.

The U.S. Syndicated Loan Market: Matching Data

By Gregory J. Cohen, Melanie Friedrichs, Kamran Gupta, William Hayes, Seung Jung Lee, Nathan Mislang, Maya Shaton, Martin Sicilian and W. Blake Marsh
December 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
A simple, replicable methodology can help researchers link corporate loan datasets.

Economic Review

The Faster Growth of Larger, Less Crowded Locations

By Jordan Rappaport
December 04, 2018 | Economic Review
Jobs and residents have increasingly migrated to larger, less crowded metros, where business productivity and urban amenities have increased.

The Response of U.S. Investment to Oil Price Shocks: Does the Shale Boom Matter?

By Nida Cakir Melek
November 20, 2018 | Economic Review
The shale boom led to greater spillovers from oil investment to aggregate investment.

Machine Learning Approaches to Macroeconomic Forecasting

By Aaron Smalter Hall
November 13, 2018 | Economic Review
A machine learning model can incorporate large amounts of data to forecast the unemployment rate.

Mapping Stress in Agricultural Lending

By Cortney Cowley
September 05, 2018 | Economic Review
Stress in agricultural lending, measured by repayment rates for farm loans, spiked across the Tenth District in 2016.

Energy investment variability within the macroeconomy

By David Rodziewicz
August 22, 2018 | Economic Review
U.S. investment has become more variable due to both increased energy investment and an increased concentration of investment in more volatile segments of the energy sector.
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Agriculture & Rural Economies

Insights on agricultural and rural economies regionally and nationally.

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Issues affecting the banking and payments industries.

The Center for the Advancement of Data and Research in Economics

CADRE provides high performance computing capabilities and research data management and curation services to the research community.

Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium

Our annual symposium draws central bankers, policymakers, academics and economists from around the world. The proceedings include papers, commentaries and discussions.
About the Symposium | Archive

Monetary Policy & Macroeconomics

Issues of importance to the Federal Reserve, including financial markets, banking, monetary policy and more.

Community Research

Economic issues affecting low- and moderate- income communities, including fair and impartial access to credit.

Regional Research

Economic geography and developments for national monetary policy deliberations.