Center for Agriculture and the Economy

Leveraging expertise from the Kansas City Fed, the Center provides timely analysis of industry developments and conducts ongoing research on the agricultural economy.

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Farm Financial Stress Remains Moderate

By Nate Kauffman
October 8, 2026

Farm loan repayment rates have remained slightly weaker than a year ago, but the pace of deterioration has slowed recently alongside a significant increase in crop prices. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s quarterly survey of agricultural credit conditions, the diffusion index for farm loan repayment rates was 82 in the third quarter, indicating some deterioration from a year ago, but not as weak as the previous quarter. Crop prices increased notably from the second quarter to the most recent quarter, with corn and soybean prices up by 8.0% and 7.4%, respectively. The increase in crop prices has led to External Linkimproved profitability among row crop producers despite large increases in costs associated with diesel.

A line chart titled "U.S Farm Loan Performance" tracks two trends from 2010 to 2026. The blue line (Farm Loan Repayment Rates, left axis) starts moderately high, rises to a peak in the early 2010s, declines to a low around 2016, then surges sharply to its highest levels in 2021-2022, before falling again and showing a slight uptick toward 2026. The green line (Farm Loan Delinquency Rates, right axis) starts relatively high, declines steadily through the mid-2010s, rises modestly in the early 2020s, drops to its lowest point around 2023-2024, and then increases again toward 2026. A dotted horizontal line marks the "Neutral Index Value” of 100 for reference.

Notes: Farm loan delinquency rate data are sourced from the Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Reports) for commercial banks and from Uniform Call Reports filed by agricultural credit associations within the Farm Credit System to the Farm Credit Administration. Farm loan repayment rates are obtained from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Quarterly Survey of Agricultural Credit Conditions and displayed as a diffusion index. The index numbers are computed by subtracting the percentage of survey respondents who responded “lower” from the percentage who responded “higher” and adding 100.

Sources: Commercial Bank Reports of Condition and Income; Farm Credit Administration; Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Agricultural Credit Conditions

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