Nida Çakır Melek is a senior economist in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. She joined the Bank in August 2013 after receiving her Ph.D. from UCLA. She holds a B.S. degree in Mathematics from Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey and an M.A. degree in Economics from Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey. Her primary areas of research are macroeconomics, international economics, and energy economics.
Professional Journals and Books
- “Big Data Meets the Turbulent Oil Market” (with Charles W. Calomiris and Harry Mamaysky), Financial Analysts Journal, 2026, Vol.82, No.1
- “Marshall B. Reinsdorf and Louise Sheiner (eds.), The Measure of Economies: Measuring Productivity in an Age of Technological Change (University of Chicago Press)” (book review), Business Economics, 60(3), 2025, 175–178
- “Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil” (with Michael Plante and Mine K. Yücel), Review of Economic Dynamics, 42, 2021, 307–332
- “Productivity, Nationalization, and the Role of ‘News’: Lessons from the 1970s,” Macroeconomic Dynamics, 24(5), 2020, 1264–1298
Economic Review Articles
- The Future of U.S. Productivity: Cautious Optimism amid Uncertainty
with Alex Gallin, Vol. 9, no. 9 - Can Higher Gasoline Prices Set Off an Inflationary Spiral?
with Francis M. Dillon and A. Lee Smith, Vol. 7, no. 4 - The Evolving Link between Oil Prices and U.S. Consumer Spending
with Robert J. Vigfusson, First Quarter 2021 - The Response of U.S. Investment to Oil Price Shocks: Does the Shale Boom Matter?
Fourth Quarter 2018 - Lifting the U.S. Crude Oil Export Ban: Prospects for Increasing Oil Market Efficiency
with Elena Ojeda, Second Quarter 2017 - Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility
with Troy Davig, Jun Nie, A. Lee Smith, and Didem Tuzemen, Third Quarter 2015 - What Could Lower Prices Mean for U.S. Oil Production?
First Quarter 2015
Research Working Papers
- Measuring the Spectrum of Occupational Emissions
with Elior Cohen, RWP 25-05 - The Role of Technology and Energy Substitution in Climate Change Mitigation
with Musa Orak, RWP 23-15 - The Missing Tail Risk in Option Prices
with Jason P. Brown, Johannes Matschke, and Sai A. Sattiraju, RWP 23-02 - The Income Share of Energy and Substitution: A Macroeconomic Approach
with Musa Orak, RWP 21-18 - Big Data and the Turbulent Oil Market
with Charles W. Calomiris and Harry Mamaysky, RWP 20-20, Appendix- Previous version: Predicting the Oil Market
- The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis
with Michael Plante and Mine K. Yücel RWP 17-10 - Productivity, Nationalization, and the Role of "News": Lessons from the 1970s
RWP 14-06
Economic Bulletin
- A New U.S. Productivity Chapter? What Industry Data Say About AI
with Sydney Miller, February 2026 - Powering Up: The Surging Demand for Electricity
with Alex Gallin, September 2024 - Gasoline Prices Unlikely to Bring Down Inflation in 2023
with Francis M. Dillon and A. Lee Smith, February 2023 - Negative Sentiment toward Spending and Declining Real Incomes May Meaningfully Lower Consumption
with Emily Pollard, November 2022 - Cell Phone Data Suggest Persistent Differences in Work from Home by Income, Race, and Education during the Pandemic
with Sungil Kim, March 2021 - What Could Resurging U.S. Energy Production Mean for the U.S. Trade Deficit?
with Jun Nie, March 2018 - Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility
with Troy Davig, Jun Nie, A. Lee Smith, and Didem Tuzemen, September 2015 - What Could Lower Prices Mean for U.S. Oil Production?
April 2015