Latest Research

When Don’t Developing Countries Benefit from Capital Account Liberalization? The Role of Labor Market Institutions

By Qingyuan Du, Jun Nie and Shang-Jin Wei
November 26, 2019 | Research Working Paper
Developing countries may fail to benefit from capital account liberalization if their labor markets are rigid.

Risk-shifting, Regulation and Government Assistance

By Padma Sharma
November 26, 2019 | Research Working Paper
The elimination of bailouts during the savings and loan crisis in 1989 led thrift institutions to increase their composition of safe assets.

Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risks in a Data-Rich Environment

By Thomas R. Cook and Taeyoung Doh
November 26, 2019 | Research Working Paper
A large set of economic and financial indicators suggests a negligible risk of unexpectedly low real GDP growth but a modest risk of unexpectedly low inflation.

Unconventional Monetary Policy, (A)Synchronicity and the Yield Curve

By Karlye Dilts Stedman
November 19, 2019 | Research Working Paper
Spillovers from unconventional monetary policy abroad increase when the return to normalized policy is asynchronous.

Urban Growth Shadows

By David Cuberes, Klaus Desmet and Jordan Rappaport
November 18, 2019 | Research Working Paper
Although locations near metropolitan areas have experienced faster population growth since 1920, this growth has diminished since 2000, suggesting the largest metropolitan areas will grow more slowly over coming decades.
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