Jun Nie
Senior Economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
1 Memorial Drive
Kansas City, Missouri
Biography
Jun Nie is a Senior Economist in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. He joined the department in June 2009.
Mr. Nie received his M.A. and Ph.D. from New York University. He earned a Bachelor's Degree in Economics and one in Mathematics from Wuhan University. In 2007-2008 he taught courses in Intermediate Macroeconomics and Statistics at New York University as an instructor. In 2008 he was a dissertation intern at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Mr. Nie's current research interests include unemployment and labor market policies, robustness and rational inattention, wealth inequality, and the Chinese economy.
Professional Journals and Books
- "Rational Inattention and the Dynamics of Consumption and Wealth in General Equilibrium"
with Yulei Luo, Gaowang Wang, Eric R. Young (2017). Journal of Economic Theory, 172, 55-87. - "Elastic Attention, Risk Sharing, and International Comovements"
with Wei Li and Yulei Luo (2017). Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 79, 1-20 (Lead Article). - "Slow Information Diffusion and the Inertial Behavior of Durable Consumption"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, Journal of European Economic Association, 13(5), 805-840, 2015 - "Model Uncertainty and Intertemporal Tax Smoothing"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 45, 289-314, 2014 - "Robust Control, Informational Frictions, and International Consumption Correlations"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, European Economic Review, 67, 1-27 (Lead Article), 2014
- "Model Uncertainty, State Uncertainty, and State-space Models"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, State-Space Models: Applications in Finance and Economics, Wu, Shu and Yong Zeng (eds.), 2013, Springer Press - "Robustness, Information-Processing Constraints, and the Current Account in Small Open Economies"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, Journal of International Economics, 2012, 88(1), pp.104-120
Under Review for Publication
- "Ambiguity, Low Risk-Free Rates, and Consumption Inequality"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 15-14. Revision submitted to The Economic Journal
Economic Review Articles
- "Forecasting Current-Quarter U.S. Exports Using Satellite Data"
with Amy Oksol, Second Quarter 2018 - "Consumer Spending in China: the Past and the Future"
with Andrew Palmer, Third Quarter 2016 - "Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility"
with Troy Davig, Nida Cakir Melek, A. Lee Smith and Didem Tuzemen, Third Quarter 2015 - "Implications of Recent U.S. Energy Trends for Trade Forecasts"
with Craig S. Hakkio, Fourth Quarter 2014 - "Economic Growth in Foreign Regions and U.S. Export Growth
with Lisa Taylor, Second Quarter 2013 - "Would Active Labor Market Policies Help Combat High U.S. Unemployment?"
with Ethan Struby, Third Quarter 2011
Research Working Papers
- Forecasting Foreign Economic Growth Using Cross-Country Data
with Craig S. Hakkio, RWP 18-14 - "Growth and Welfare Gains from Financial IntegrationUnder Model Uncertainty"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 18-12 - "Ignorance, Uncertainty, and Strategic Consumption-Portfolio Decisions"
with Yulei Luo and Haijun Wang, RWP 17-13 - "Elastic Attention, Risk Sharing, and International Comovements"
with Wei Li and Yulei Luo, RWP 15-16 - "Rational Inattention and Dynamics of Consumption and Wealth in General Equilibrium"
with Yulei Luo, Gaowang Wang, and Eric R. Young, RWP 14-14 - "Human Capital Dynamics and the U.S. Labor Market"
with Lei Fang, RWP 13-10 - "Wealth Distribution with State-dependent Risk Aversion"
with Rong-Wei Chu and Bei Zhang, RWP 13-09 - "Slow Information Diffusion and the Inertial Behavior of Durable Consumption"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 12-11 - "Model Uncertainty, State Uncertainty, and State-space Models"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 12-02 - "Model Uncertainty and Intertemporal Tax Smoothing"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 12-01 - "Robustness, Information-Processing Constraints, and the Current Account in Small Open Economies"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 10-17 - "Robust Control, Informational Frictions, and International Consumption Correlations"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young, RWP 10-16 - "Training or Search? Evidence and an Equilibrium Model"
RWP 10-03
The Macro Bulletin
- "Why is Wage Growth So Low?"
December 21, 2018 - "How Much Would China’s GDP Respond to a Slowdown in Housing Activity?"
with Thomas R. Cook and Aaron Smalter Hall, September 12, 2018 - "What Could Resurging U.S. Energy Production Mean for the U.S. Trade Deficit?"
with Nida Cakir Melek, March 7, 2018 - "Has China’s Growth Reached a Turning Point?"
with Yandong Jia, August 2017 - "Gauging the Strength of Chinese GDP Growth"
- "Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility"
- "Global Capital Flows from China"
with Nicholas Sly -
"The Effect of the U.S. Energy Boom on the Trade Deficit"
with Craig Hakkio - "China's Slowing Housing Market and GDP Growth"
with Guangye Cao - "U.S. Exports and Foreign Economic Growth: Which Regions Matter Most?"
with Lisa Taylor
Work in Progress
- "Model Uncertainty, Risk Sharing, and the Effects of Volatility on Growth"
with Yulei Luo and Eric R. Young - "Capital Account Openness and Unemployment"
with Qingyuan Du and Shang-Jin Wei
